Dated: 18 January 2011
Commenting on the latest inflation figures, Graeme Leach, Chief Economist at the Institute of Directors (IoD) said:
“It would be very easy to work oneself up into a real flap over December’s inflation numbers, but it would also be a mistake. Today’s announcement does not mean there will be an early rise in interest rates. Yes, inflation is way above target and likely to get worse before it gets better. And yes, there were some record monthly increases in certain categories. But the overall story is more benign. CPIY (excluding indirect tax effects) and CPICT (at constant tax rates) are both on target at 2 per cent.
“We continue to argue that a combination of spare capacity, labour market weakness and anaemic money supply growth will begin to weaken inflation in the second half of 2011. Let’s not forget that headline inflation reached 5 per cent in the autumn of 2008, but then fell to just 1 per cent a year later.”
